Model Accuracy
We publish our prediction accuracy — the wins and the misses. Transparency builds trust.
Win/Loss Accuracy
Percentage of games where we correctly predicted the winner. A coin flip is 50%.
Brier Score
Measures calibration — how well probabilities match outcomes. 0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip.
Spread MAE
Mean Absolute Error on predicted point spreads. Lower is better.
| Model | Games | Win/Loss Accuracy | Brier Score | Spread MAE | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|