Model Performance
Every prediction is tracked against actual results. We publish our accuracy — the wins and the misses.
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Winner Accuracy
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Avg Margin Error
0
Games Predicted
50%
Coin Flip Baseline
How We Measure Accuracy
Winner Accuracy
Did we correctly predict which team would win? A coin flip gets 50%. Our models aim for 60%+.
Margin Error
How far off was our projected point differential from the actual margin? Lower is better.
Confidence Calibration
When we say 80% confident, do we win ~80% of those games? Well-calibrated confidence = trustworthy predictions.
Recent Predictions vs Results
| Sport | Date | Matchup | Predicted | Actual | Result | Error | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Why We Publish Our Accuracy
Most prediction sites hide their misses. We don't. Every prediction PickSavvy makes is logged before the game starts and compared to the actual result. We show our winner accuracy, margin errors, best calls, and biggest misses because transparency builds trust.